Up to 300,000 Australians will be on aged care waitlist by 2030 under new changes, modelling shows

Expert is forecasting a shortfall of more than 171,000 in-home packages by next June, to grow by about 30,000 places each year

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As many as 300,000 elderly Australians will be on the waitlist for assistance at home by 2030, according to new expert modelling of Australia’s redesigned aged care system.

Kathy Eagar, a former adviser to the aged care royal commission and a UNSW adjunct professor, has forecast demand for in-home packages under Labor’s changes to the national aged care system, now due to come into force from 1 November.