Russia can keep fighting Ukraine war throughout 2026, says military thinktank

Little sign Moscow’s ability to continue waging war for a fifth year is diminished, says head of International Institute of Strategic Studies

Russia will be able to sustain its invasion of Ukraine throughout 2026 even allowing for emerging manpower and economic pressures, while its missile and drone threat to Europe is growing, according to a leading military thinktank.

Bastian Giegerich, the director general of the International Institute of Strategic Studies, said there was “little indication” that “Russia’s ability to continue its war against Ukraine for a fifth year is diminished”.

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